Disclaimer
This is a prototype tool that calculates the 30-day mortality risk after emergency admission for suspected or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients over 50 years. Use permitted for research purposes and tool validation only.
Demographics
Physical exploration
Blood test
Disclaimer: This is a prototype tool that calculates the 30-day mortality risk after emergency admission for suspected or confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients over 50 years. Use permitted for research purposes and tool validation only.
This tool consists on a Random Forest predictive model trained on 10399 COVID-19 cases of patients over 50 years from two spanish hospitals: Hospital 12 de Octubre de Madrid and Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valencia. Supported by comprehensive development and independent validation processes, the final model performs with a Cross-Validated Area Under Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUC-ROC) of .82, and at a selected decision threshold with a sensitivity of .80 and specificity of .70.
For more information about the model development please see our publication:
Publication pending. In process of submission.